The rand remains firm and opens the day below 11.80/$, spurred on by pro-rand events which transpired yesterday.
SA’s January manufacturing output rose by 2.5%, supporting the expectation that the domestic economy is gaining momentum.
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The rand is taking full advantage of the weaker dollar as it opens at 11.83/$ this morning.
Investors returned to buying emerging market currencies (as opposed to the USD) after Trump’s top economic advisor,
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US Fed chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish (very positive) testimony yesterday has sent the greenback on a mini-rally.
The dollar gained more than 1% against the majors as Powell expressed optimism that the US economy remains strong.
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By all accounts President Ramaphosa’s first address to the nation was a roaring success.
All eyes now shift to the 2018 Budget Speech set for Wednesday at 14:00. The rand’s reaction to SONA was muted, with markets waiting to see Wednesday’s balancing act. National Treasury’s focus will be on how to confront the ballooning budget deficit and government debt, amongst many other issues (with the short term goal being to avoid yet another credit rating downgrade).
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The rand weakened overnight as a result of better than expect US Jobs numbers and wage growth released Friday, sparking fears of higher than expected US interest rate increases during 2018.
The US stock market lost 2.5% as investors cashed out to hold USD in anticipation of a Fed hike in March. The GBP/ZAR continues to flirt with the 17/£ level as a false break to 17.10/£ on Friday was given back on speculation over Zuma’s demise.
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